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The 60/40 portfolio assumes bonds rise when stocks fall. In 2022 they fell together. Here is how managed futures lower portfolio correlation — why they behave differently from stocks and bonds, the crisis-period track record, and why even a small allocation matters.
NOAA has issued an El Niño Advisory with a 63% chance of a very strong event this winter. Here is what a strengthening 2026–27 El Niño could mean for coffee, cocoa, sugar, and palm oil — and how systematic traders and commercial hedgers approach it.
CME Group will launch Single Stock futures this summer, pending regulatory review: 54 financially settled contracts on top U.S. stocks. What they are, how they work, the contract specs, and what they mean for active and systematic traders.
Investors pour into trend following after banner years and bail during drawdowns — buying high and selling low. Why the disciplined move is to add during the drawdown, especially with event risk (El Niño, geopolitics, disaster season) building on the horizon.
May CPI hit 4.2%, but it’s an oil shock from the Iran war that’s already reversing as the Strait of Hormuz reopens. Why we think inflation looks transitory — and why the Fed’s next move may be a cut, not a hike.
If your trend-following system has struggled, you’re in good company — the largest CTA programs faced the same 2025 headwinds. Here’s what the data shows, why the environment was so hostile, and how to navigate it without abandoning a sound process.
When stock markets collapse, most investments bleed together. Bonds, stocks, hedge funds — all moving in lockstep downward. The one exception: managed futures strategies that follow systematic, trend-based trading rules. The Problem with Traditional Diversification For decades, the standard portfolio recipe was simple: 60% stocks, 40% bonds. When stocks fell, bonds were supposed to rise.… Continue reading Crisis Alpha: How Systematic Futures Strategies Profit When Everything Else Suffers
Your edge is the strategy — realizing it is execution. Why systematic futures traders benefit from an experienced, conflict-free broker running their system live.
How broad managed futures indices fared in May 2026 — SG Trend, SG CTA, and SG Short-Term — and the energy-driven reversal, dollar strength, and gold consolidation that drove the spread between styles.
AI generates hundreds of trading strategy variants in minutes — but overfitting is the dominant failure mode in systematic trading, and AI makes the temptation worse, not better. Here’s what real out-of-sample discipline looks like in the AI era.
